Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.077775 0.087247 0.097074 0.108005 0.119794 0.132100 0.145888
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.061219 0.074946 0.090052 0.107784 0.127901 0.149888 0.175612
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.048808 0.064976 0.083779 0.106945 0.134397 0.165582 0.203361
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.042790 0.061275 0.083804 0.112686 0.148120 0.189583 0.241153
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.038278 0.058593 0.084416 0.118684 0.161976 0.213893 0.279857
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032551 0.053420 0.081116 0.119151 0.168589 0.229278 0.307935
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026813 0.047372 0.075903 0.116464 0.170682 0.238749 0.328653
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.024380 0.045684 0.076304 0.120995 0.181992 0.259846 0.364089
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.021882 0.043529 0.075749 0.124000 0.191187 0.278286 0.396408
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.019427 0.041089 0.074486 0.125782 0.198604 0.294425 0.425950
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.017028 0.038394 0.072546 0.126348 0.204197 0.308125 0.452444
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.016714 0.039235 0.076047 0.134942 0.221141 0.337209 0.499493
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014367 0.036259 0.073487 0.134662 0.225967 0.350711 0.527140
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012675 0.034267 0.072364 0.136509 0.233937 0.368769 0.561390
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010882 0.031781 0.070177 0.136536 0.239203 0.383199 0.591060
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010415 0.031962 0.072569 0.143887 0.255471 0.413242 0.642406
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009988 0.032157 0.074963 0.151288 0.271960 0.443858 0.694968
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008730 0.030253 0.073361 0.151969 0.278167 0.459892 0.727554
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007189 0.027357 0.069627 0.148827 0.278313 0.467166 0.748020
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006755 0.027127 0.070935 0.154257 0.291841 0.493893 0.795933
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006174 0.026402 0.071197 0.157849 0.302528 0.516630 0.838515
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.005517 0.025332 0.070660 0.159975 0.310893 0.536062 0.876645
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.004813 0.023959 0.069367 0.160651 0.316895 0.552054 0.910049